气候变化背景下的洪水风险管理

Foreword3
Preface5
Foreword7
Preface11
Acknowledgements13
Definitions15
Acronyms and abbreviations21
Chapter 1Flood risk management1
1.1The global flood problem4
1.2Problem context8
1.3Flood risk15
1.4How do we manage flood risk?17
1.5Systems view of flood risk
management19
1.6Conclusions23
1.7Exercises24
Chapter 2Climate change and risk of
flooding25
2.1Floods and their physical
characteristics27
2.2Climate change and variation
impacts35
2.3Approaches for dealing with
climate change49
2.4Conclusions55
2.5Exercises57
Chapter 3Risk management as adaptation to
climate change59
3.1Flood risk management decision
process63
3.2Approaches to flood risk management
as adaptation to climate change74
3.3An example: Climate changecaused flood
risk to municipal infrastructure,City
of London (Ontario,Canada)82
3.4Conclusions124
3.5Exercises125
Chapter 4Risk management: probabilistic
approach127
4.1Mathematical definition of risk129
4.2Classification of risk135
4.3Risk criteria138
4.4Probabilistic risk modeling141
4.5Probabilistic tools for flood risk
management147
4.6Conclusions213
4.7Exercises214
Chapter 5Risk management: fuzzy set
approach217
5.1Paradigm change219
5.2Introduction to fuzzy sets222
5.3Fuzzy risk definition241
5.4Fuzzy tools for flood risk management
under climate change249
5.5Conclusions307
5.6Exercises308
Chapter 6Future perspectives311
6.1Understanding climate change and
flood risk management313
6.2Adaptive flood risk management
under climate change316
6.3Risk communication319
6.4Conclusions323
References325
译著序言3
译者的话5
序言7
前言11
致谢13
术语15
缩略词21
第1章洪水风险管理1
1.1全球洪水问题4
1.2洪水问题的内涵8
1.3洪水风险15
1.4如何管理洪水风险17
1.5洪水风险管理的系统观点19
1.6结论23
1.7练习题24
第2章气候变化与洪水风险25
2.1洪水及其物理特性27
2.2气候变化和变异的影响35
2.3气候变化的应对措施49
2.4结论55
2.5练习题57
第3章适应气候变化的风险管理59
3.1洪水风险管理决策过程63
3.2适应气候变化的洪水风险管理
措施74
3.3案例： 气候变化导致加拿大安大略省
London市市政基础设施
洪水风险82
3.4结论124
3.5练习题125
第4章风险管理： 概率法127
4.1风险的数学定义129
4.2风险类型135
4.3风险标准138
4.4概率风险模型的建立141
4.5洪水风险管理的概率工具147
4.6结论213
4.7练习题214
第5章风险管理： 模糊集方法217
5.1模式转变219
5.2模糊集介绍222
5.3模糊风险的定义241
5.4气候变化条件下洪水风险管理中的
模糊工具249
5.5结论307
5.6练习题308
第6章未来前景311
6.1了解气候变化与洪水风险管理313
6.2气候变化背景下适应性洪水风险
管理316
6.3风险沟通319
6.4结束语323
参考文献325