能源电力规划工程原理与应用

目 录
 
第1章 绪论 ·················1
 
 1.1 背景及意义 ··2
 
 1.2 国内外能源电力及发展规划历程 ·············3
 
1.2.1 我国国民经济和社会发展的变迁与发展 ············3
 
1.2.2 国内外能源电力规划发展历程及展望 ···············5
 
 1.3 新常态下我国能源电力规划工程重大举措 ·9
 
1.3.1 能源发展战略行动计划（2014—2020年） ·········9
 
1.3.2 进电能替代的方针政策 ·······················15
 
1.3.3 我国全面实施电力规划管理办法 ····················18
 
 1.4 新时期能源电力规划工程面临的形势 ·····23
 
1.4.1 能源电力发展面临转型升级的新机遇 ··············23
 
1.4.2 市场经济条件下中长期规划的新思路 ··············27
 
1.4.3 能源电力规划工程面临的形势及主要问题 ········30
 
第2章 能源电力规划工程基本理论 ···················34
 
 2.1 能源电力规划工程的基本概念 ··············35
 
2.1.1 能源电力规划工程系统动力学原理模型 ···········35
 
2.1.2 能源电力规划工程要处理的八大关系 ··············37
 
2.1.3 系统工程理论在电力规划工程中的应用 ···········42
 
 2.2 能源规划工程理论及方法论 ·················46
 
2.2.1 能源规划工程的基本概念 ·····························46
 
2.2.2 能源规划工程的目标及分类 ··························46
 
 
2.2.3 能源规划工程的内容原则 ·····························49
2.2.4 能源规划工程的实施步骤 ·····························51
第3章 能源电力规划工程基础知识 ···················54
 
 3.1 能源与新能源基础知识 ·······················55
3.1.1 能源电力的基本定义 ···································55
3.1.2 化石能源 ···········56
3.1.3 清洁能源 ···········58
3.2 能源电力行业发展面临的形势与挑战 ·····60
3.2.1 我国电力供需形势分析 ································60
3.2.2 我国新能源发展与展望（2016—2020年） ········65
3.3 能源电力与绿色发展 ··························68
3.3.1 能源电力规划与绿色发展 ·····························68
3.3.2 绿色发展与经济社会发展 ·····························71
3.3.3 绿色经济与绿色能源 ···································73
第4章 国家能源安全与发展战略 ······················77
 
 4.1 中国能源安全与发展战略面临的新挑战 ··78
4.1.1 能源安全与发展战略的基本概念 ····················78
4.1.2 国内外能源安全“三要素”比较分析 ··············80
4.1.3 我国能源安全面临的主要挑战 ·······················81
4.2 世界主要发达国家能源战略的演变及趋势 ······································82
4.2.1 美国通过立法推动能源战略转型 ····················82
4.2.2 法国实施3E能源政策 ··································84
4.2.3 德国不断进行能源结构调整 ··························85
4.2.4 日本通过政策设计约束能源发展 ····················86
4.2.5 英国推动市场化低碳经济 ·····························87
4.3 世界能源展望（2016—2030年） ············88
4.3.1 人口增速正在放缓，能源效率加速提高 ···········88
4.3.2 消费增长日益依靠非化石燃料 ······················89
4.3.3 液体燃料需求增速逐步放缓 ··························90
4.4 能源战略与能源安全 ··························91
4.4.1 全球能源格局与能源发展趋势 ·······················92
 
4.4.2 中国能源现状及面临的困难 ··························93
 
4.4.3 中国能源需求对策与战略设计 ·······················95
 
 4.5 中国的能源安全与能源战略 ·················97
 
4.5.1 科学供给满足合理的需求 ·····························97
 
4.5.2 尊重能源开发与能源消费规律 ·······················98
 
4.5.3 我国能源安全与发展战略的展望 ··················101
 
第5章 能源电力规划信息平台与应用 ··············104
 
 5.1 能源电力规划信息平台基础知识 ··········105
 
5.1.1 信息技术与信息科学 ·································105
 
5.1.2 信息工程的基本原理 ·································107
 
5.1.3 PEST分析模型 ··108
 
5.1.4 SWOT分析模型 ·······································110
 
 5.2 电网规划基础数据库的设计方法 ··········112
 
5.2.1 规划基础数据存在的主要问题 ·····················112
 
5.2.2 需求分析与平台目标 ·································113
 
5.2.3 基础数据库设计方案 ·································116
 
5.2.4 数据库平台的主要功能 ······························119
 
5.2.5 电网规划基础数据库实施方案 ·····················121
 
 5.3 辽宁电力规划信息平台实施案例 ··········122
 
5.3.1 ERP计划管理模块与规划计划系统 ···············122
 
5.3.2 大规划与“四大平台”系统的建设与应用 ······128
 
第6章 能源规划工程技术与应用 ·····················133
 
 6.1 能源规划的基础知识 ·························134
 
6.1.1 能源规划工程的基本概念 ···························134
 
6.1.2 全球能源互联网及其关键技术 ·····················135
 
6.1.3 世界能源分布情况与发展趋势 ·····················136
 
 6.2 国家“十三五”能源规划工程策略 ·······140
 
6.2.1 我国省级能源发展规划管理办法 ··················140
 
6.2.2 推进“互联网 ”智慧能源发展重点任务 ·······143
 
 
6.2.3 新常态下能源规划工程的新挑战 ·················· 149
 
 6.3 辽宁省“十三五”能源发展规划案例 ····151
 
6.3.1 辽宁省能源工业发展现状 ··························· 151
 
6.3.2 辽宁省能源发展形势分析 ··························· 154
 
6.3.3 能源供需总量及结构预测分析 ····················· 155
 
6.3.4 能源发展的战略方针及目标 ························ 157
 
6.3.5 “十三五”能源规划的重点任务 ·················· 158
 
第7章 电力规划工程技术与应用·····················163
 
 7.1 电力规划工程技术基础知识 ················164
 
7.1.1 电力系统规划工程设计原理 ························ 164
 
7.1.2 优化理论在电力规划和需求侧管理中的应用 ··· 166
 
7.1.3 系统工程理论与电力规划设计方法 ··············· 168
 
 7.2 电力规划工程应用技术与方法 ·············172
 
7.2.1 电力市场条件下的电力规划工程 ·················· 172
 
7.2.2 电力系统综合负荷预测技术 ························ 175
 
7.2.3 2020年我国电力发展规划与预测 ·················· 179
 
 7.3 辽宁省“十三五”电力发展规划案例 ····180
 
7.3.1 辽宁省电力工业发展环境分析 ····················· 180
 
7.3.2 电源建设空间分析及规划方案 ····················· 183
 
7.3.3 电网发展规划原则与实施方案 ····················· 185
 
7.3.4 “十三五”期间电力发展主要措施 ··············· 186
 
第8章 电网规划工程技术与应用·····················187
 
 8.1 电力网络规划工程设计基本知识 ··········188
 
8.1.1 电力网络规划工程设计基本方法 ·················· 188
 
8.1.2 配电网规划分区电力负荷预测方法 ··············· 191
 
8.1.3 电网规划工程设计的基本要求 ····················· 194
 
 8.2 城乡配电网规划工程技术规范 ·············200
 
8.2.1 城乡配电网规划基本规划要求 ····················· 201
 
8.2.2 城乡配电网规划技术原则 ··························· 202
 
8.2.3 高压配电网 ······ 204
 
8.2.4 中压配电网 ······206
 
8.2.5 低压配电网 ······208
 
8.2.6 用户接入 ·········209
 
8.2.7 分布式电源接入 ·······································210
 
8.2.8 配电网智能化 ···210
 
 8.3 辽宁省“十三五”电网发展规划案例 ····211
 
8.3.1 电网发展概况 ···211
 
8.3.2 电力需求预测分析 ····································212
 
8.3.3 能源布局和电力流 ····································212
 
8.3.4 电网规划指导思想、总体思路和发展目标 ······213
 
8.3.5 主网架规划 ······215
 
8.3.6 220千伏电网规划 ·····································216
 
8.3.7 配电网规划 ······217
 
第9章 大型电力企业规划工程与应用 ··············220
 
 9.1 企业战略规划理论与方法 ···················221
 
9.1.1 企业战略规划的基本概念 ···························221
 
9.1.2 战略规划的制订原则、方式和内容 ···············222
 
9.1.3 制订战略规划的步骤及评估方法 ··················223
 
9.1.4 企业战略规划的21步法 ······························225
 
 9.2 企业规划管理及质量优化方法 ·············227
 
9.2.1 大型企业集团公司规划管理工作办法 ············227
 
9.2.2 编制战略规划的优化方法 ···························231
 
9.2.3 规划企业愿景的方法论框架 ·····················234
 
 9.3 大型电力企业“十三五”发展规划案例 ·236
 
9.3.1 企业“十三五”发展规划编制概况 ···············236
 
9.3.2 企业发展面临的形势和挑战 ························237
 
9.3.3 “十三五”期间企业发展规划的重点任务 ······238
 
9.3.4 “十三五”规划效果分析 ···························243
 
9.3.5 “十三五”规划实施风险分析 ·····················244
 
 
第10章 能源电力规划工程项目管理与应用 ·····246
 
 10.1 能源电力规划项目管理基础理论 ·········247
 
10.1.1 能源电力规划工程的基本特征 ··················· 247
 
10.1.2 “阶段性、时效性、持久性”总体实施策略 · 250
 
10.1.3 能源电力规划工程总体实施策略模型 ·········· 251
 
 10.2 能源电力规划工程策略与管理规范 ······254
 
10.2.1 电力规划研究工作管理办法 ······················ 254
 
10.2.2 电力发展规划工程管理工作指南 ················ 258
 
10.2.3 火电、电网项目规划建设管理规定 ············· 261
 
 10.3 能源电力规划工程项目管理典型案例 ···265
 
10.3.1 项目及项目管理的基本概念 ······················ 265
 
10.3.2 能源电力规划工程的项目管理 ··················· 267
 
10.3.3 能源电力规划项目计划的综合论证 ············· 268
 
10.3.4 能源电力规划项目立项前期准备 ················ 270
 
10.3.5 能源电力规划工程过程管理 ······················ 270
 
参考文献 ····················273